COVID 19 Analysis

As of March 4th, at 1800 GMT, here are the countries with reported cases of 100 or above.  I have added up deaths and those considered in serious condition.  In addition, I calculated the percentage of those cases for each country, except for Iran, which isn't reporting serious cases for whatever reason.

Conclusions:

1.  China, Italy, Japan and the United States have the highest percentages for the combination of Deaths and Serious cases versus Reported Cases.

2.  Germany, South Korea and Spain have a much lower percentage for Deaths and Serious cases versus Reported cases.

3.  Why does Italy, Japan and the United States have a much higher percentage versus Germany. South Korea and Spain?  Is it because there are a lot more cases out there that haven't been reported or has the the virus mutated into something more deadly?  

 

	Total	Deaths	Serious	Total	% of Deaths
	Cases				or Serious
China	80,282	2,981	6,416	9,397	11.7
S. Korea	5,621	35	27	62	1.1
Italy	3,089	107	295	402	13.0
Iran	2,922	92	?	?	?
Diamond Princess	706	6	35	41	5.8
Japan	331	6	29	35	10.6
Germany	262		2	2	0.8
France	257	4	10	14	5.4
Spain	210	1	3	4	1.9
USA	137	10	8	18	13.1
Singapore	110		7	7	6.4
Hong Kong	103	2	6	8	7.8

http://www.amateur-investors.com/COVID19.htm

The Democrats are no Better

As an independent with no ties to either party, the Democrats are just as childish as Trump.  Although Trump started this mess, the Democrats are just as guilty for not paying Federal Employees.   A bill today to pay all Federal Employees failed to get through the House.  https://thehill.com/homenews/house/425858-house-rejects-gop-measure-to-pay-workers-but-not-open-government

One Week Grace Period

Since both sides of the aisle are complete idiots what they should do is declare a truce and pass a "1" Week Spending Bill for next week.   This would allow all Federal Employees who have been working/furloughed during this shutdown to get paid.  Also it would allow those that are furloughed to catch up on things.  If nothing is solved by next Saturday (1/26) then then shutdown begins once again. 

Term Limits

Term Limits should be applied to every person in Congress.  However, these idiots will never bring this up for a vote.

Congress Could Pay Employees on Time

With 800,000 Federal workers on furlough Congress could pass an emergency bill at anytime to pay all workers on time.  However since this is a battle between Trump and the Democrats neither side wants to give in at the moment.  Eventually somebody will blink. 

Federal Employees

As a federal employee for nearly 30 years the recent shutdown is the 6th one I have endured.  In each one federal employees have always been paid.  Overall federal employees are either considered essential or not during a shutdown.  For those not considered essential it's basically a paid vacation.  For those considered essential they are required to work.  Essential employees receive no additional compensation which probably isn't right since the unessential ones get a free paid vacation. 

Congress should pass a law such that essential employees will get time and a half during a shutdown to compensate them for not getting a free paid vacation.  Passing a law like this would likely prevent future shutdowns since Congress would never want to pay essential employees time and a half .

Broadening Top/Megaphone Pattern in the Dow?

The Dow still could be exhibiting a large Broadening Top/Megaphone pattern.  Our latest Analyis is at
 http://www.amateur-investor.net/Weekend_Market_Analysis_Oct_22_2016.htm
  

Will there even be an Election?

I think the odds are increasing that the Presidential Election in November will be postponed.  I have a sneaky feeling if the Democrats believe Clinton will lose to Trump, that all of a sudden, a major health issue will be announced in late October which will prevent her from holding office.   The leaking of health issues already by the press may already be setting the tone for an announcement by late October if her poll numbers continue to drop.

Does Anybody Care?

As we move closer to the election in early November, I can't think of an election since I have been of voting age (1980) where two candidates are so hated.  The media love fest for Clinton is extremely annoying.  Why anyone with an actual brain would vote for her is a good question.  Meanwhile if Trump would just shut his freaking mouth and focus on the issues he would likely easily win.  However he has shown no interest in keeping his mouth shut and likely will turn off many voters who would have voted for him.

The US is falling apart and it seems nobody cares.  The rich get richer while the poor get poorer.  All of the elites in this country care about nothing except screwing over their own people.  If this trend continues I expect a lot of civil unrest to follow in the years ahead no matter who is president.