Wednesday, March 04, 2020

COVID 19 Analysis

As of March 4th, at 1800 GMT, here are the countries with reported cases of 100 or above.  I have added up deaths and those considered in serious condition.  In addition, I calculated the percentage of those cases for each country, except for Iran, which isn't reporting serious cases for whatever reason.

Conclusions:

1.  China, Italy, Japan and the United States have the highest percentages for the combination of Deaths and Serious cases versus Reported Cases.

2.  Germany, South Korea and Spain have a much lower percentage for Deaths and Serious cases versus Reported cases.
3.  Why does Italy, Japan and the United States have a much higher percentage versus Germany. South Korea and Spain?  Is it because there are a lot more cases out there that haven't been reported or has the the virus mutated into something more deadly?  
 
  Total Deaths Serious Total % of Deaths
  Cases       or Serious
China 80,282 2,981 6,416 9,397 11.7
S. Korea 5,621 35 27 62 1.1
Italy 3,089 107 295 402 13.0
Iran 2,922 92 ? ? ?
Diamond Princess 706 6 35 41 5.8
Japan 331 6 29 35 10.6
Germany 262   2 2 0.8
France 257 4 10 14 5.4
Spain 210 1 3 4 1.9
USA 137 10 8 18 13.1
Singapore 110   7 7 6.4
Hong Kong 103 2 6 8 7.8